Macroeconomics is a total mess – The Property Chronicle
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Macroeconomics is a total mess

The Economist

The Economic Affairs Committee of the House of Lords has produced its report on the Bank of England. Correctly, it is critical of the Bank, but it could have been much more so. As expected, the Bank is said to suffer from “groupthink” and the Treasury origins of its senior staff are highlighted as a weakness.

But there is nothing wrong with groupthink, if the members of the group believe in the right theories. In fact, groupthink would be a positive merit if there were a single right theory and everyone accepted it. The Bundesbank seems to me to have done a pretty good job between 1957 and 1999, and arguably its staff thought in much the same way. As far as I am aware, every physicist endorses the laws of gravity and every physicist is therefore subject to groupthink. I have argued consistently in (what is now) a depressingly long career that the essence of well-organized macroeconomic policy is:






The Economist

About Tim Congdon

Tim Congdon is one of the world's leading monetary analysts. He advised the UK's 1979-97 Conservative government on economic policy, serving as a member of the Treasury Panel (the so-called 'Wise Men' ) from 1992 to 1997. He is usually regarded as the UK's leading exponent of the 'monetarist' school of thought, and was influential in the late 1970s and early 1980s in the defence of 'Thatcherite monetarism'. In the macroeconomic bedlam of early 2009, he set up International Monetary Research Ltd. as a vehicle for commenting regularly on monetary developments and banking. Tim Congdon has been a successful businessman and investor, and is the founder and main patron of the Institute of International Monetary Research, as well as being its first Director. In January 2016, he handed over the Directorship to Dr Juan Castañeda, who was later succeeded by Damian Pudner.

Articles by Tim Congdon

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