Frontier Notes – March 2018 – The Property Chronicle
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Frontier Notes – March 2018 The growing economies of Ghana and Nigeria

Investor's Notebook

Nominally at least, both Ghana and Nigeria are in the midst of an economic uptick. The latter is forecast to grow at 2% per annum this year as against 0.6% in 2017 and -1.6% the year before (its first recession in a quarter century). Ghana meanwhile is set to exceed 8% per annum in 2018 after historically low three years of 4% per annum between 2014 and 2016 and estimated 6% per annum in 2017. Assuming Ghana hits the projected outturn, it will be one of the fastest growing countries in the world this year. Together, they account for 55% and 73% of West African GDP and population.

Ghanaian and Nigerian developers having suffered in the lean years will welcome the good news. However, recent challenges rooted in weak commodity prices, foreign exchange liquidity constraints, shackled fiscal capacity and volatile ‘cost of government’ factors have not entirely dissipated. In the Nigerian case, policy making is sclerotic. For example, in January 2018 the Central Bank (CBN) was unable to hold its scheduled Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting due to a standoff between the Presidency and the Senate over CBN and Economic and Financial Crime Commission (EFCC) personnel decisions. And before this, the CBN was on the back foot setting a credible monetary policy framework for then acute forex liquidity constraints. While the monetary crisis has waned, the consistent under-execution of budgeted capital expenditure means fiscal policy still lacks credibility.






Investor's Notebook

About Nana Adu Ampofo

Nana Adu Ampofo

Joint Managing Partner and Co-Founder of Songhai Advisory, Nana is an experienced and well-networked British and Ghanaian business leader dedicated to facilitating the growth and development of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. In this role, Nana has led the Songhai team in delivering on business and political risk projects for organisations of international repute, including various private equity and hedge fund groups, the Overseas Development Institute, the British Council, UK Trade and Invest and global executive search firm, Russell Reynolds. Before launching Songhai Advisory with Kissy Agyeman-Togobo, Nana worked with the international market intelligence firm IHS as an economic and political risk specialist, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) and the UK’s Department of Trade and Industry. Nana may be contacted on nana.ampofo@songhaiadvisory.com

Articles by Nana Adu Ampofo

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