The Short Term and Long-Term Effects of the Coronavirus (Covid 19) on Commercial Real Estate – The Property Chronicle
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The Short Term and Long-Term Effects of the Coronavirus (Covid 19) on Commercial Real Estate

The Analyst

No one can accurately predict how long the Coronavirus will last or when effective vaccines can be rolled out, so all we can do is speculate, based on some logic and our past experience with SARS, which seems less serious and less deadly than this new potential pandemic.

Logic and history suggest that the most immediate effects will be 1) significant interruption of all supply chains, 2) significantly less travel, and a fear of all crowded venues, 3) likely over-reactions in the capital markets affecting stocks and our estimation of wealth, 4) possible government interventions to assist affected industries, especially in China.

How will each of these affect real estate markets? Starting with the most obvious:






The Analyst

About Norman Miller

Norman Miller

Norm G. Miller, PhD is the Ernest Hahn Chair and Professor of Real Estate at the University of San Diego, and part of the Burnham-Moores Center for Real Estate within the Knauss School of Business. Contact at nmiller@sandiego.edu

Articles by Norman Miller

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