There we have it. The date and time for Donald Trump’s meeting with the Kim Jong-un are set. It was announced when Trump’s newly appointed secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, returned from Pyongyang with three Americans who had been imprisoned in North Korea. The summit – an outbreak of diplomacy after the two countries traded […]
trump
The seductive simplicity of blaming Trump’s win on Cambridge Analytica Blaming bad news on nefarious forces
For the last two years, on both sides of the Atlantic, liberals and other concerned citizens have spent their time searching for an answer to the agonising, appalling, question “How did this happen?” How, for the love of God, could the United States have elected Donald Trump president? How, for crying out loud, could the […]
Forecasts by George Costanza Predicting the opposite of the mainstream consensus
Predicting the opposite of the mainstream consensus. […]
The anatomy of a British pound collapse Our Macro commentator on the outlook for sterling
Our Macro commentator on the outlook for sterling. […]
The Trump White House and US stock market risk With the Volatility Index at 14, Wall Street’s pendulum of greed and fear has unquestionably tilted to fear
With the Volatility Index at 14, Wall Street’s pendulum of greed and fear has unquestionably tilted to fear. […]
Global political instability: a threat to the markets? A macro view of volatility and market resilience
A macro view of volatility and market resilience. […]
Can UAE emerge as an aircraft leasing hub? Plus my thoughts on Central Europe and the dollar
I was stunned to read a Boeing report that forecasts that the global passenger jet fleet will more than double to 45,250 by 2035. Given that almost 20,000 of the world’s in-service aircraft will be retired or converted to freighters in the next decade, Boeing forecasts at least $3 trillion in financing for 40,000 odd […]
What Trump’s political scandal means for investors The latest on the White House's influence on the financial markets, from Matein Khalid
Matein Khalid asks: is the Wall Street sell off just an ephemeral market or something more ominous, a trend change, requiem for the bull market? Plus his latest thoughts on the Karachi stock index and the overvaluation of Credit Suisse shares. […]
What next for G-10 currencies and crude oil?
The euro, the French stock market, OAT-German debt interest rates spreads, the Volatility Index (VIX) and the ghosts of Vichy, Oradour and Algérie française convince me that Emmanuel Macron will be the next President of France on Sunday. So I see no reason to abandon my euro bullish strategy even though the single currency has […]
The View from Berkeley Square Robert Fowlds, one of the City's biggest real estate rainmakers, looks at the real estate markets from his perch high above Berkeley Square
Well, if ‘a week is a long time in politics’ (and even longer in UK politics!), it’s also a long time for the listed global real estate sector. Ironically as a property developer moved into the White House last autumn, the sector badly underperformed as equity investors switched into reflation trades and bond investors headed […]