The Euro has been a disaster since its birth in 1999. Its monetary pathologies led to youth unemployment rates of 50 – 60% in Greece, Spain and the Italian Mezzogiorno. It gave a trillion-dollar windfall to German exporters at the expense of the hapless Club Med and amplified Berlin’s diktat over the lands once occupied […]
euro
The View from Berkeley Square How the listed real estate sector fared in 2017 - and what we can expect next
How the listed real estate sector fared in 2017 – and what we can expect next. […]
Greed and fear in the global stock market What the week's news means for investors
What the week’s news means for investors. […]
The anatomy of a British pound collapse Our Macro commentator on the outlook for sterling
Our Macro commentator on the outlook for sterling. […]
The hunt for value in global equities Matein Khalid explores the dramatic shift in the US stock market from growth/momentum to value shares
Matein Khalid explores the dramatic shift in the US stock market from growth/momentum to value shares. […]
Europe faces macro storm clouds this autumn My predictions for the next few months
My predictions for the next few months. […]
Wall Street: a hawkish Federal Reserve and the US dollar comeback Also in this week's column: investing in Fox News and the Standard Oil twins
My latest thoughts on the Federal Reserve, investing in Fox News and the Standard Oil twins. […]
Can UAE emerge as an aircraft leasing hub? Plus my thoughts on Central Europe and the dollar
I was stunned to read a Boeing report that forecasts that the global passenger jet fleet will more than double to 45,250 by 2035. Given that almost 20,000 of the world’s in-service aircraft will be retired or converted to freighters in the next decade, Boeing forecasts at least $3 trillion in financing for 40,000 odd […]
What next for G-10 currencies and crude oil?
The euro, the French stock market, OAT-German debt interest rates spreads, the Volatility Index (VIX) and the ghosts of Vichy, Oradour and Algérie française convince me that Emmanuel Macron will be the next President of France on Sunday. So I see no reason to abandon my euro bullish strategy even though the single currency has […]
France’s election and global financial risks
The French election is a game changer for global financial markets for multiple reasons. One: the worst case scenario of far right (Le Pen) and far left (Melenchon) as second round candidates for the Elysee Palace on May 7th is no longer a systemic risk. This was the reason the Chicago Volatility Index (VIX) plunged […]