

It’s the time of year when my loyal half dozen readers expect a missive from the far end of the world. Usually a disaster, natural or man made accompanies my travels and this time is no exception. The ghastly ‘White Island’ horror occurred in...
Disasters keep coming: letter from New Zealand

Coronavirus Highlights Xi’s Vulnerability
The coronavirus epidemic may be centre-stage for epidemiologists and other health professionals right now, but it is unquestionably also a political economy event in China with important repercussions for the rest of the world and financial markets. Look no further...
Coronavirus Highlights Xi’s Vulnerability

For China, the 2020s will be a difficult decade
At the dawn of the 2020s, China is facing challenges that are perhaps the most serious since the death of Mao Zedong in 1976. Until relatively recently, these were predominantly home-grown problems gathering momentum slowly over the last decade or so. They have become...
For China, the 2020s will be a difficult decade

China’s patronage economy is the real root of the Hong Kong protests
The conventional explanation for the protests that have gripped Hong Kong in recent weeks is that they have been triggered by opposition to the government’s extradition bill, but the true causes run much deeper. Planning consultants Demographia have named Hong Kong...
China’s patronage economy is the real root of the Hong Kong protests

Hong Kong is going to cost China
Over the last few weeks of protests in Hong Kong, culminating in the violence in the Legco building last week, most people have rightly concluded that: at best, the end of the ‘one country two systems’ m.o. will be hastened; all the sooner, if the protests...
Hong Kong is going to cost China