

You wouldn’t think it from listening to the BBC, watching Sky News or ITN nor from reading the Daily Express. But as negotiations on Brexit continue, the UK and EU may find they can strike a grown up and wide-ranging deal after all. It could be rather an anticlimax...
Fixing the broken housing market?

What next for G-10 currencies and crude oil?
The euro, the French stock market, OAT-German debt interest rates spreads, the Volatility Index (VIX) and the ghosts of Vichy, Oradour and Algérie française convince me that Emmanuel Macron will be the next President of France on Sunday. So I see no reason to abandon...
What next for G-10 currencies and crude oil?

Do foreign investors know something we don’t?
Image (c) iStockphoto Do foreign investors know something we don’t? Since the Brexit vote last June we have seen a number of assets snapped up by foreign investors, driven in part by the weakness of sterling since the referendum. In the past few weeks Cannon Place was...
Do foreign investors know something we don’t?

France’s election and global financial risks
The French election is a game changer for global financial markets for multiple reasons. One: the worst case scenario of far right (Le Pen) and far left (Melenchon) as second round candidates for the Elysee Palace on May 7th is no longer a systemic risk. This was the...
France’s election and global financial risks

The View from Berkeley Square
The West End has been a joy to drive around this Easter as half of London (and most of the property industry) has been away! As well as being able to secure reservations in some fine restaurants, it has also provided some time to reflect… On Brexit I get asked every...
The View from Berkeley Square