

The Bank of England (BoE) projects the UK will ‘enter recession from Q4’. I will only accept we are heading into recession if the OBR says so when it next updates us in October. Only those close to 60 will painfully know what a real recession feels...
BOE is talking economic nonsense

UK house prices: history says the market is in for a long slowdown not a crash
It’s going to be easier to get on the property ladder following a recent decision by the Bank of England to relax some of the criteria for getting a mortgage. Combined with expectations of a slowdown in the property market, this news will be something of a relief to...
UK house prices: history says the market is in for a long slowdown not a crash

Will the UK’s 20-year housing bubble ever end?
Originally published March 2022. UK house prices have been in a bubble for almost 20 years, which makes it one of the longest-running bubbles in history. This is very interesting, because bubbles almost never last this long. They usually only last a few years and...
Will the UK’s 20-year housing bubble ever end?

Tory leadership special: Tory tax plans need to be more strategic to tackle the cost of living crisis – here’s why
The cost of living crisis is a key issue for the Conservative leadership candidates hoping to become the next prime minister of the UK. But the taxation strategies suggested by the final two Conservative party leadership hopefuls, Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss, won’t...
Tory leadership special: Tory tax plans need to be more strategic to tackle the cost of living crisis – here’s why

Tory leadership special: Rishinomics does not work
The dividing line between Sunak and Truss has been economic policy. Sunak has tried to paint himself as the frugal guardian of the nation’s wealth, with the implication that Truss has got it wrong. The problem is, Rishinomics does not work. A generous...
Tory leadership special: Rishinomics does not work