The US housing collapse continues – The Property Chronicle
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The US housing collapse continues

Residential Investor

Sales of existing homes sank another 5.9% in October to a 4.43 million seasonally adjusted annual rate. That is the ninth consecutive monthly decline, leaving the selling pace at the lowest level since May 2020, the low of the lockdown recession. Excluding the lockdown recession, sales have been at their lowest since December 2011. Sales were down 28.4%t from a year ago and 31.7% from the January peak.

Sales in the market for existing single-family homes, which account for about 90% of total existing-home sales, dropped 6.4% in October, coming in at a 3.95 million seasonally adjusted annual rate (see first chart). Sales are down 28.2% from a year ago and 31.3% from the January peak. Single-family sales also fell for the ninth consecutive month and were at their slowest pace since the May 2020 lockdown recession.

The single-family segment saw sales decline in all four regions. Sales fell by 4.7% in the Midwest, 5.4% in the South, the largest region by volume, 7.8% in the Northeast, the smallest region by volume and 10.3% in the West. Sales were down double digits in all four regions from a year ago (-38.1% in the West, -26.4% in the South, -25.5% in the Midwest, and -23.0% in the Northeast).

Condo and co-op sales fell 2.0% for the month, leaving sales at a 480,000 annual rate for the month versus 490,000 in September (see first chart). Measured from a year ago, condo and co-op sales were off 30.4% and were at their slowest pace since June 2020.






Residential Investor

About Robert Hughes

Robert Hughes joined the American Institute for Economic Research in 2013 following more than 25 years in economic and financial markets research on Wall Street. He was formerly the Head of Global Equity Strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, where he developed equity investment strategy combining top-down macro analysis with bottom-up fundamentals. Prior to that, he was a senior equity strategist for State Street Global Markets, senior economic strategist with Prudential Equity Group and senior economist and financial markets analyst for Citicorp Investment Services.

Articles by Robert Hughes

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