Bonds behaving badly – The Property Chronicle
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Bonds behaving badly

The Fund Manager

Do conventional bonds still deserve a place in portfolios?

Total return on 10-year US Treasuries, adjusted for US CPI inflation %

Global Financial Data, Refinitiv, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Ruffer calculations, 24 month rolling total return, data to March 2022.

What was the real return on the US 10-year bond over the past two years? Flat? Down a little?

Wrong – down a lot. The bedrock of the balanced portfolio has delivered a real return of -20% over the past two years (Bloomberg).

That’s the worst inflation-adjusted performance since 1981 (Bloomberg and Ruffer calculations).






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