What next for Hong Kong? – The Property Chronicle
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What next for Hong Kong?

Investor's Notebook

Post-Covid, life has not yet reached the new normal, according to this writer.

Some readers will know that I relocated from Hong Kong to the UK in early March. I have to say that it was a traumatic experience, not to put too fine a point on it. There are two main reasons why it was so. First, I have spent my entire working life in Asia, mostly in Hong Kong, but also in Singapore and the Philippines, thus making departure something of an emotional wrench, leaving behind many friends and indeed family. Second, leaving at what seems now with hindsight to have been ‘peak Covid’ made the experience far more stressful than it needed to be. The details are unimportant, and in the greater scheme of things, are de minimis when one reads the news from Ukraine. So, like a frog which has escaped boiling water, I look back now at Hong Kong with a new perspective and wonder how the city will fare.

Let’s start with the property market outlook, which is as common a dinner party topic in Hong Kong as it is in London. One thing I have long learned is not to bet against the Hong Kong property market, however dire the circumstances seem to be. For those unaware, Hong Kong home prices more than doubled over the past 10 years, reaching an all-time high in September 2021. Not that this is exactly something to boast about, since it makes Hong Kong the most unaffordable housing market in the world and glosses over some uncomfortable home truths about the number of people living below the poverty line and the lengthy waiting lists for public housing. 

“What is truly remarkable is that prices have remained stable despite the Covid pandemic of the past two years and the worst civil disobedience in a generation in 2019”






Investor's Notebook

About Alan Dalgleish

Alan Dalgleish

Alan Dalgleish is the founder of Asian Property Intelligence and was previously Chief Executive of ANREV, a not-for-profit association for investors in unlisted real estate, which counted as its members some of the largest real estate investors and managers in the world. He has over 30 years' experience in real estate markets in the Asia Pacific region and is a market leader recognised by the institutional investor and fund manager community for his research, consulting and capital markets knowledge. The common thread in Alan’s real estate career is capital markets research and consulting. Alan is a Fellow of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors and holds the FT Non-executive Director diploma. He is currently a Trustee of UK-based charity The Property Research Trust.

Articles by Alan Dalgleish

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