Suppose you lent someone $100 and when they paid you back they only handed you, say, $99 or $80. Would you consider the borrower to have kept his promise and contractual obligation? Or would you think that he had cheated you out of a part of the money you had lent him in good faith? […]
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REITs remain worth it
Sure, the sector suffered last year, but it’s overcome troubles before and will do so again. Real estate investment trusts, or REITs, were misunderstood for years after they debuted in 1960 – even for decades. When they were first written into law, they were little known and little appreciated. Institutional investors simply did not trust […]
Beware the Biden boom
Many parts of the economy have suffered no ill effects from Covid – the US government should restrain its largesses One year after the emergence of covid as a threat to our daily existence, a peculiar narrative has taken hold whereby the undoubted turmoil of the past 12 months is being treated as a general […]
New single-family home sales jump in March
Sales of new single-family homes rose sharply in March, increasing 20.7% to 1.021 million at a seasonally adjusted annual rate from a 846,000 pace in February. Sales are an astonishing 66.8% above the year ago level (see top of first chart). Sales were up in three of the four regions of the country in March […]
Staying liquid isn’t good – or bad. It’s cheap or expensive
This article was originally published in June 2020. Market volatility is at an historic extreme. From a technical perspective, post-pandemic US stock markets are behaving in a manner unseen in price history, making multi-year lows and highs in a matter of weeks. Liquidity comes at a price. Read on to better understand why volatility is the price […]
Housing starts and permits rise in March as headwinds grow
Total housing starts rose to a 1.739 million annual rate from a 1.457 million pace in February, a 19.4% increase. The March recovery was expected as weather conditions in significant portions of the country were unfavourable in February and significantly depressed activity. From a year ago, total starts are up 37.0%. The dominant single-family segment […]
How ‘doing a Bradbury’ helped Joe Biden secure the presidency
Some of you may remember Steven Bradbury, the Australian short-track speed skater, in the 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City. The unlikely finalist – he’d snuck through the semi-final after the defending champion fell three bends from the end and two other rivals collided – found himself up against the best of the sport […]
New York’s fiscal suicide
The state of New York is an economic disaster area. New York is ranked #50 in the Economic Freedom of North America. New York is ranked #48 in the State Business Tax Climate Index. New York is ranked #50 in the Freedom in the 50 States. New York is next-to-last in measures of inbound migration. New York is ranked #50 in the State Soft Tyranny Index. The good news is […]
A trillion here, a trillion there
The late Everett Dirksen, a long-serving Minority Leader of the Republicans in the US Senate, is famously quoted as saying a billion here, a billion there, and soon we’re talking real money. That was back in 1969. At the time, a billion dollars was about one-tenth of 1% of GDP. What about today? During 2020, the […]
US household net worth hits a record while debt service remains low
Despite the pandemic, restrictive government policies, and the worst economic contraction in history, US household net worth rose again in the fourth quarter to a new record. Household net worth rose to $130.155tn, up 5.6% from the previous record of $123.229tn in the third quarter, and 10.1% from $118.220tn at the end of 2019 (see […]